Intentions to Stay and Employment Prospects of Refugees from Ukraine

Tetyana Panchenko, Panu Poutvaara

Key Messages

  • We conducted two surveys of Ukrainian refugees in Germany.
  • 63 percent of Ukrainian refugees plan to stay in Germany for at least 2 years.
  • 22 percent of Ukrainian refugees in Germany are employed. The majority work below their self-reported formal qualifications.
  • The share of Ukrainian refugees receiving social benefits has decreased from spring to fall.
  • German skills are key to the integration of Ukrainians into the labor market.

 

Abstract

We conducted two waves of quantitative online surveys and qualitative interviews of Ukrainian refugees in Germany. We asked whether they plan to stay in Germany and whether they are already employed or plan to search for employment, as well as the factors that determine these. We report the results of the second wave of surveys in this policy brief. The second wave of the survey clarified the socio-demographic characteristics of refugees from Ukraine, the circumstances of their arrival and adaptation in Germany, and demonstrates the dynamics of changes in their plans and intentions.

Citation

Tetyana Panchenko and Panu Poutvaara: “Intentions to Stay and Employment Prospects of Refugees from Ukraine,” EconPol Policy Brief 46 November 2022.