News Archive

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The Global Economic Impact of Politicians: Evidence from an International Survey RCT

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Working Paper
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A large-scale RCT survey of 843 experts in 107 countries examined how the US president influences economic expectations of international experts, including GDP growth, unemployment, inflation and trade in their country. The results show that the election of Joe Biden increased growth expectations of international experts by 0.98 percentage points for the year 2021, that treatment effects materialize only in the short-run and experts’ uncertainty increased after the election. The results suggest that exceptional politicians influence global economic outcomes.

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International Transmission of Interest Rates: The Role of International Reserves and Sovereign Debt

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Working Paper
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In this study of the determinants of international transmission of interest rates with a special emphasis on the role of international reserves and government debt, authors confirm that the trilemma still holds. They find significant spillovers from the U.S.

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The Advantages of the Division of Labour Also Apply to Economic Policy: The Green New Deal

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EconPol Opinion
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Even in times of the corona pandemic, environmental and climate protection are among the dominant topics in the economic policy debate:this is justified, as global warming is one of the greatest challenges of our time. Tackling it requires a transformation of the economy by reducing CO2 emissions and adapting to the climate change that has already occurred or will occur despite all efforts. European policymakers have set out to drive this transformation under the banner of the Green New Deal, its objectives shared by a large majority of the population.

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The Deserving and the Undeserving: “Heuristics” or “Automatism”?

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Working Paper
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Voter attitudes towards the welfare state, its specific programs, or specific people who are supposed to “benefit” from the implied social transfers have always been of vital interest for discussions in the public and political spheres. In this working paper, Peter Grand and Guido Tiemann (EconPol Europe, IHS Vienna) examine public sentiments concerning the conditionality of unemployment benefits and find that opinion is influenced by the supposed level of 'deservedness', along with economic, social, and institutional context.

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