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Global economic experts surveyed by EconPol Europe expect economic output to shrink by 4.4 percent in 2020, with projected GDP growth predicted to improve to + 3.2 per cent by 2021. But the forecasts - from 950 experts in 110 countries - suggest that recovery from the economic crash caused by the Covid-19 pandemic will be longer than previously expected, with pre-crisis levels not reached until 2022 in many places.
Fuest and Pisani-Ferry Favor Financing the EU via Emissions Trading (English, French and German versions)
The EU should receive a new source of funding in the form of revenue from the European emissions trading system (ETS), according to a proposal from Clemens Fuest, President of the ifo Institute and Speaker of the EconPol Europe research network, and Jean Pisani-Ferry, French economist and former Founding Director of the Bruegel think tank. Their joint paper was presented to the EU Economic and Financial Affairs Council (ECOFIN) in Berlin on 11 September.
If the global Covid-19 crisis continues into 2021, it is “highly likely” that major European banks would not be able to withstand the financial shocks, according to research from EconPol Europe.
A study from EconPol Europe which uses standardized guidelines to identify ‘optimal’ herd immunity policies reveals transferring the risk from the old to the young could reduce a global death toll by over 80%.
The authors of a new study from EconPol Europe have called for policy makers to finance Covid-19 spending through monetization rather than the creation of new debt, which they say could risk exposing a number of countries to a new sovereign debt crisis.